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Predicting the evolutionary patterns of emerging and endemic viruses is key for mitigating their spread. In particular, it is critical to rapidly identify mutations with the potential for immune escape or increased disease burden. Knowing which circulating mutations pose a concern can inform treatment or mitigation strategies such as alternative vaccines or targeted social distancing. In 2021, Hie B, Zhong ED, Berger B, Bryson B. 2021 Learning the language of viral evolution and escape.Science371, 284–288. (doi:10.1126/science.abd7331) proposed that variants of concern can be identified using two quantities extracted from protein language models, grammaticality and semantic change. These quantities are defined by analogy to concepts from natural language processing. Grammaticality is intended to be a measure of whether a variant viral protein is viable, and semantic change is intended to be a measure of potential for immune escape. Here, we systematically test this hypothesis, taking advantage of several high-throughput datasets that have become available, and also comparing this model with several more recently published machine learning models. We find that grammaticality can be a measure of protein viability, though methods that are trained explicitly to predict mutational effects appear to be more effective. By contrast, we do not find compelling evidence that semantic change is a useful tool for identifying immune escape mutations. 

Resistive pulse sensing (RPS) measurements of nanoparticle translocation have the ability to provide information on single-particle level characteristics, such as diameter or mobility, as well as ensemble averages. However, interpreting these measurements is complex and requires an understanding of nanoparticle dynamics in confined spaces as well as the ways in which nanoparticles disrupt ion transport while inside a nanopore. Here, we combine Dynamic Monte Carlo (DMC) simulations with Machine Learning (ML) and Poisson–Nernst–Planck calculations to simultaneously simulate nanoparticle dynamics and ion transport during hundreds of independent particle translocations as a function of nanoparticle size, electrophoretic mobility, and nanopore length. The use of DMC simulations allowed us to explicitly investigate the effects of Brownian motion and nanoparticle/nanopore characteristics on the amplitude and duration of translocation signals. Simulation results were verified with experimental RPS measurements and found to be in quantitative agreement.